APR Forecast October 2024

In this article, we provide an analysis of the current staking rewards rate for Twinstake-supported crypto assets, offering insights into their performance over the past quarter as well as projections for the next three months. By examining key factors such as staking capitalization, inflation rates, and network utilization, we aim to provide a comprehensive overview of Twinstake’s expectations over the coming quarter.

Executive Summary

ETH: Twinstake expects the current staking reward rate on Ethereum to drop by only 2 basis points (bps) to 3.46% during Q4 due to anticipated increased staking market capitalization. 

SOL: The staking APR on Solana is predicted to reach 7.58% from its current value of 7.67% over Q4 2024, driven by the reducing inflationary issuance, potentially offset somewhat by higher JITO MEV (Maximal Extractable Value).

TON: Recently high network usage which pushed the staking APR to its current high value of 4.51%, is expected to subside and stabilise the APR at 4.25% during Q4. 

APT: Aptos’s 2nd genesis anniversary is set for October 12th. The pre-defined inflation rate reduces annually on this date by 1.5% and will reduce the APR from 6.89% to 6.79%. It is worth noting the recently approved proposal to reduce the staking lockup period from 28 days to 14 days which significantly improved liquidity for Aptos stakers.

TIA: Celestia’s staking APR is expected to decrease from 9.92% to 9.69% as the inflation rate drops from 8.04% to 7.21%.

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To see the full Twinstake analysis on APR rates for the coming quarter, read the full report below: